Indian Apparel Unlikely to Benefit from Bangla Crisis; Cross-Border Trade Remains at Standstill

Border posts remain clogged, orders and payments are stuck, and amidst all there’s also a lot of talk that the political upheaval in neighbouring Bangladesh could see shifting of orders to India. But, till government tweaks some policies, Indian apparel manufacturers making hay from the Bangla crisis appears wishful thinking.

Long Story, Cut Short
  • Some garment houses are said to have reopened, but it would be a while before RMG production limps back to normal.
  • Would orders shift to India? Shifting short-delivery orders using special imported fabrics to India is not viable, given India’s current import policies. Only orders in fabrics of Indian origin are expected to be shifted to Indian factories.
  • In the long term, buyers will remain sceptical on being overly dependent on Bangladesh.
Cross-border trade between India and Bangladesh has come to a halt since the current phase of violence began in the latter.
No Traffic Cross-border trade between India and Bangladesh has come to a halt since the current phase of violence began in the latter. [Representative picture] Milin John / Unsplash

The Indian textiles and apparel industry has been watching the political developments in neighbouring Bangladesh with keen interest. This interest is dual in nature. For one, India is Bangladesh's rival in readymade garments (RMG); at the same time, it is also a supplier to that country's apparel industry. But how both equations play out in the coming days is enmeshed in uncertainties.

Over the past week, there have been many reports indicating that Indian suppliers to garment makers in Bangladesh have already suffered losses. Many are having to grapple either with high-value consignments that are stranded at the Indo-Bangla border, or payments that are stuck for obvious reasons. In most cases it is a combination of all factors.

In the northern state of Punjab, whose share of yarn exports to Bangladesh is about one-third of India's, manufacturers are frantically waiting for the impasse to end. Amit Thapar, President of Ganga Acrowools Ltd, told the Tribune: "Goods worth more than ₹2 billion are stuck at the border and orders worth ₹10 billion will be immediately affected."

Bajrang Lal Sharma, member of the management committee of All-India Motor Transport Congress, told the same newspaper: “More than 700 trucks laden with yarn, chemical fabric and cycle parts are stranded on the Indian side of the border, while 1,300 trucks are stuck on the other side. Of these, roughly 200 were of Punjab-based exporters.” Border posts remain clogged with stranded vehicles.

In FY24, roughly 34.9% of India's raw cotton and cotton yarn exports (worth $2.4 billion) were to Bangladesh alone. About 200–250 containers of cotton yarn are exported to Bangladesh every month. This has come to a grinding halt, and is likely to remain affected for months to come.

Ripple Patel, Managing Director of Fiotex Cotspin Private Limited, told the Financial Express, “The industry is worried about the uncertainty around the fate of the containers on the way to Bangladesh and the orders in the pipeline. After this development, the yarn industry will face tremendous heat as the spinning units are already making losses due to muted global demand because of the ongoing geo-political crisis in Europe and Middle East.”

But not everyone exports yarn or fabrics to Bangladesh, which is also a big buyer of Indian sarees. A considerable volume of the saree trade originates from the textile city of Surat in Gujarat state. Saree manufacturers here have halted the supply of products to Bangladesh. The city exports ₹1 billion worth of textile products and yarn to Bangladesh every month.

“The city’s businesses have not received orders from exporters in Kolkata for the past month. Earlier, sarees and dress material were major products along with fabric and yarn,” Vijay Mewavala, President of the Southern Gujarat Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SGCCI), told the Times of India.

The overall picture

An interim government headed by Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus was sworn in late Thursday evening. Its task is cut out: restore normalcy in the country, and pave way for elections to Parliament that are both free and fair. The violence, however, has not ended with reports of widespread arson and attacks on Hindus and Awami League members and supporters still pouring in.

Some garment houses are said to have reopened, but it would be a while before RMG production limps back to normal. Till such time, would orders shift to India?

It's easier said than done. Sudhir Sekhri, Chairman of the Apparel Export Promotion Council (AEPC), looks at the bigger picture: "Buyers are very concerned with the escalation of the civil unrest in Bangladesh. In the short term, fast fashion buyers have no option but to pull out their orders from Bangladesh and place them elsewhere. Most of these orders are in man-made fabrics, purchased from buyer-nominated sources in China, South Korea and even Europe. Shifting these short-delivery orders using special imported fabrics to India is not viable, given India’s current import policies. Only orders in fabrics of Indian origin are expected to be shifted to Indian factories."

In the long term, buyers will remain sceptical on being overly dependent on Bangladesh. Continues Sekhri, "Even before the current turmoil, buyers were already looking for capacities elsewhere, due to capacity saturation in Bangladesh. The recent turmoil will expedite their plans. Indian factories will get a piece of the cake only if they ramp up capacities. However, buyers will continue to be hesitant to place orders in India unless the Government of India tweaks its import policies to allow greater and easier access to imported man-made fabrics, trims and accessories." Till such time, Indian apparel manufacturers making hay from the Bangla crisis appears wishful thinking.

The Confederation of Indian Textile Industry (CITI) believes that the ongoing political upheaval in Bangladesh poses significant concerns for the Indian textiles and apparel sector, particularly for companies operating factories in Bangladesh and exporting products from those units. It believes any supply disruption in Bangladesh will have immediate impacts on the supply chain, potentially affecting production schedules and delivery timelines.

According to CITI, there is already a noticeable shift towards alternative manufacturing hubs such as a strategic move by companies to diversify their production bases and reduce dependency on a single market. Tiruppur, known for its robust textile and apparel manufacturing capabilities, may benefit as a key beneficiary of this shift. Whether this will happen remains to be seen.

Contends Chandrima Chatterjee, CITI Secretary-General: "Bangladesh’s growth in the textiles sector has been inspiring and lent strength to trade flows in the entire subcontinent. While we are concerned about the impact on the supply chain and the potential delays and disruptions it might cause, we are hopeful that the situation will improve soon."

Besides yarn and fabrics, India also exports a considerable volume of sarees to Bangladesh.
Besides yarn and fabrics, India also exports a considerable volume of sarees to Bangladesh. [Representative picture] Sagar Shrestha / Unsplash

Richa Bansal

RICHA BANSAL has more than 30 years of media industry experience, of which the last 20 years have been with leading fashion magazines in both B2B and B2C domains. Her areas of interest are traditional textiles and fabrics, retail operations, case studies, branding stories, and interview-driven features.

 

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  • Dated posted: 9 August 2024
  • Last modified: 9 August 2024